Kazakevich: “The tactics differ from the Belarusian ones”
The political scientist on how events in Kazakhstan may affect our country. Political scientist Andrei Kazakevich, discussing the situation in Kazakhstan (https://gazetab…
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The new Constitution: a stillborn project?
On 27 December, the text of the draft new Constitution that will be put to a referendum was published. What configuration of power is planned under this draft, and which …
Are Sanctions Working or Not? What Is Happening to Belarusian Transit through the Baltics
“Sanctions are working” and “sanctions are effective” are different questions If there is so much “noise” around sanctions evasion, this means that sanctions are wor…
How did Belarus change in 2021?
Andrei Kazakevich, director of the Political Sphere Institute: “The main result of 2021 can be considered the fact that the political model formed between 1996 and 2000 h…
“Lukashenka and the people around him did not feel safe”
The Belarusian regime still has no confidence that if repression is stopped, it will be able to maintain control over the situation. This opinion was expressed by former …
Kazakevich: “We Are Talking About Millions”
Political scientist Andrei Kazakevich on the possible consequences of the démarche by Pirelli Group and Sandoz. After an investigation into the situation with workers’ ri…
The Kremlin Does Not Rule Out Deploying Nuclear Weapons in Belarus
Belarus’s relations with the West have reached the point where Lukashenka, together with officials, has begun talking about the possibility of deploying nuclear weapons i…
Is It Possible to Reach an Understanding with Lukashenka? An Expert Discussion
Is reconciliation possible between the protest-minded and loyalist parts of Belarusian society, as the writer Artur Klinau calls for? Is it worth it, and is it possible, …
Expert Environment: A Series of Expert Discussions on Belarus’s Geopolitical Choice
What volume of funding is involved when projects of the Eastern Partnership are discussed? Andrei Kazakevich, Director of the Political Sphere Institute, Editor-in-Chief …
Political Scientist: Why Lukashenka’s Reliance on Fear Is Irrational in the Long Term
On December 14, enormous prison sentences were handed down in the “Tsikhanouski case.” Siarhei Tsikhanouski himself was sentenced to 18 years. Other defendants in the cas…
“Come on, Goodbye, Mikhailovna”: Experts Explain Why Lukashenka Replaced Yarmoshyna with Karpenka
“There will be even more tightening of the screws in the electoral process” ANDREI KAZAKEVICH (https://gazetaby.media/post/kazakevich-sleduet-ozhidat-eshhe-bolshego-kontr…
What Awaits Belarus in a Year: a “Stable Swamp” or “Belazakhstan”?
Twelve experts from Belarus, Germany, and Poland gathered together and developed four scenarios (https://drive.google.com/file/d/1_B4hIDO4Hq0OUzY4k1h2Cwwypz-DTLW4/view) f…
Minsk Introduced Counter-Sanctions. Why They Will Hurt Not the West, but Belarus Itself
Analyzing the resolution of the Belarusian government on counter-sanctions (https://www.dw.com/ru/belarus-vvela-produktovoe-jembargo-v-otnoshenii-nedruzhestvennyh-stran/a…
Kazakevich: In Russia’s game against Ukraine, the Belarusian authorities are not assigned a major role
What is happening in relations between Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus increasingly resembles less and less the relations of “brotherly peoples,” and increasingly features a…
The effect of Minsk’s anti-Western sanctions may be the opposite, says Kazakevich
The fifth package of Western sanctions against Minsk is effectively a continuation of the policy that was laid down by previous sanctions packages, of which the fourth wa…
How US Sanctions against Russia Could “Ricochet” into Belarus
Sanctions against Russia may also affect the Belarusian economy, Andrei Kazakevich, Director of the Political Sphere Institute, explains to Belsat. Andrei Kazakevich. Pho…
The All-Belarusian People’s Assembly is only a fallback option for Lukashenka; he hopes for another presidency
In an interview with RIA Novosti, Alexander Lukashenka said that he does not rule out holding early presidential elections after the adoption of the updated Constitution,…
“Lukashenka has united the West.” Experts assess the joint sanctions decision and Minsk’s possible response
Western countries have reached agreement among themselves and collectively adopted (https://news.zerkalo.io/economics/6648.html) large-scale sanctions against Belarusian …