Publications · 16 November 2021
Andrei Kazakevich: One should not expect any significant concessions from the European Union for Lukashenka
Perhaps sensing that the migration crisis is gradually running out of steam, Alexander Lukashenka moved toward an artificial escalation.
In response, the European Union adopted new sanctions against official Minsk.
How might this confrontation end?
What else will the Belarusian leadership want to come up with in order to force the West to sit down with it at the negotiating table?
What is Moscow’s role in this crisis, and what goals does the Kremlin pursue by supporting, or at least not restraining, Lukashenka?
Vital Tsyhankou discussed these and other questions with Andrei Kazakevich, doctor of political science and director of the Political Sphere Institute.
Some of the thoughts voiced by Andrei Kazakevich during the Conversation:
One should not expect any significant concessions from the European Union for Lukashenka
I would like to think that the migration crisis will subside and that a solution will be found
Given Merkel’s experience, she did not start pushing some selfish, exclusively German line
Belarus’s conflict with the West plays into Moscow’s hands
Russia is not in a position to carry out costly and risky conflict operations
The full “Conversation” (https://belsat.eu/program/razmova-dnia/)